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odd and interesting about this is the three states with the worst unemployment levels, california, nevada and new jersey are solidly democratic. the whole republican argument that this administration has made things worse clearly is not working in those states where things are, in fact, the worst. in other states like nebraska, kansas, north dakota where there's extremely low employment because of shale gas and agriculture, republicans are winning. it's an interesting dynamic in the election in that respect. the real challenge for any new administrati administration, whether it's president obama or governor romney, is we treat it as a national problem and we have huge varieties between states and education levels and gender. >> let's talk about the psyc psychology of it. are people looking at the numbers and measures how they feel? whatever the case, they're measures how they feel at their home right now. >> absolutely. it's a good media story to talk about the number that changes month to month. oh, my god the unemployment rate is 7.9%. do i have a job that pays enough? do i have several
odd and interesting about this is the three states with the worst unemployment levels, california, nevada and new jersey are solidly democratic. the whole republican argument that this administration has made things worse clearly is not working in those states where things are, in fact, the worst. in other states like nebraska, kansas, north dakota where there's extremely low employment because of shale gas and agriculture, republicans are winning. it's an interesting dynamic in the election in...
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Nov 2, 2012
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president obama jumped all over the place from wisconsin to nevada, to colorado. both candidates are making their closing arguments. interesting. a closing argument. what is mitt romney's closing argument? his latest incarnation is that he's the guy who reaches across the aisle? >> we have to stop the dividing and the attacking and the demonizing. we've got to reach across the aisle, bring in good democrats with good republicans and finally do the people's business and put the politics behind. >> we just need to stop demonizing, don't we? well, old mittster, show leadership and pick up the phone and call mitch mcconnell. it's interesting for mitt romney to present himself as a guy who works across the aisle while president obama is being label by the tea partyers and everybody else in the right wing as nothing but the divider in chief. romney might want to pick up the phone, you know, give this guy a call, keynote speaker of the republican convention. governor christie spent the last four days praising the president of the united states in his partnership in storm
president obama jumped all over the place from wisconsin to nevada, to colorado. both candidates are making their closing arguments. interesting. a closing argument. what is mitt romney's closing argument? his latest incarnation is that he's the guy who reaches across the aisle? >> we have to stop the dividing and the attacking and the demonizing. we've got to reach across the aisle, bring in good democrats with good republicans and finally do the people's business and put the politics...
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Nov 2, 2012
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there have been reports in colorado and also earlier in nevada of people also tearing up voter registration forms if you didn't register republican. you also have people coming up to individuals who are trying to do early vote asking them for their i.d. even though they have no right to ask them for their i.d. there have been reports of people filming people going in and out of polling locations. we have heard some stories about both during the voting reg strak process and we're hearing it's going to happen again on election day of intentionally starting fights, intentionally creating a ruckus so if you get there and the line is long and there's a fight going on, you know, anything they can do to make it harder for to you stand there and vote. >> from your perspective, how does an he will telderly persons up without formal photo i.d. copes when a young person who appears to be professional approaches them and starts asking them questions about i.d.? >> that's part of why the democrats we call our folks who go to the polls vote protectors and the republicans call their folks vote challengers
there have been reports in colorado and also earlier in nevada of people also tearing up voter registration forms if you didn't register republican. you also have people coming up to individuals who are trying to do early vote asking them for their i.d. even though they have no right to ask them for their i.d. there have been reports of people filming people going in and out of polling locations. we have heard some stories about both during the voting reg strak process and we're hearing it's...
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Nov 2, 2012
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within a few years you have swing state, maybe not even swing state, new mexico, nevada, texas starts becoming a swing state. >> a blue state. >> the trends are so damn obvious, but they walk the other way. >> woodruff: so the campaign, the rest of the campaign, mark, jobs numbers out today. but how doe this fit in and where does this stand. >> don't pop the champagne. we're a long way from five percent but i mean the jobs numbers were better than expected which is always good. and they were increased from both august and september. they were higher. and with rising house prices, home prices, and confidence and optimistic index being highest, the highest in five years, this is all encouraging news. i mean it's not determinive news but all encouraging news for an incumbent. >> woodruff: does it affect the campaign, do you think? >> i'm not sure the last jobs numbers have a huge effect. in 1992 george h.w. bush had bigger jobs numbers. he had really significant growth. people used the economy had will be been locked. nonetheless the last couple of weeks of the campaign, you have to say
within a few years you have swing state, maybe not even swing state, new mexico, nevada, texas starts becoming a swing state. >> a blue state. >> the trends are so damn obvious, but they walk the other way. >> woodruff: so the campaign, the rest of the campaign, mark, jobs numbers out today. but how doe this fit in and where does this stand. >> don't pop the champagne. we're a long way from five percent but i mean the jobs numbers were better than expected which is...
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those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily for the presidency. unless things go very, very differently than expected to go. this is how your election viewing is going to unfold hour by hour on tuesday night. if you just exclude the states for the presidential race where everybody pretty much knows exactly how it's going to go and just the states where there is some question as to what's going to happen, here is a clip and save thing for you about these states. the battlegrounds. all right? states that you know are going to be important and everybody thinks they're going to be close. t
those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily...
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let's say florida and michigan and ohio and nevada and the list goes on. >> what are the chances of the sportscaster guy asking him a tough fema question on monday if he doesn't? >> i would say near zero. and the tax return questions i guess, he is probably not going to get from the sportscaster. >> it is the place to go. it is the place where you can have a simulation of an inner view without getting any of the questions. when you build a campaign on distraction it becomes more difficult. it is not new that the politicians try to control the encounters. what we have learned though, he does it more often with more severity than any one one else. there is a pool and that is a group of reporters that go to everything. and they issue pool reports as you well know from your time in politics. mitt romney tried to cut reporters in the pool out of covering his fundraisers. there was such disastrous push back from the press that they had to walk that back. what was that about? it was weird. no republican had tried to do that. now, when they see the types of things that they said. it is wrong. >
let's say florida and michigan and ohio and nevada and the list goes on. >> what are the chances of the sportscaster guy asking him a tough fema question on monday if he doesn't? >> i would say near zero. and the tax return questions i guess, he is probably not going to get from the sportscaster. >> it is the place to go. it is the place where you can have a simulation of an inner view without getting any of the questions. when you build a campaign on distraction it becomes...
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statewide polls differ on who was ahead in colorado and i what it should obama with a single digit lead in nevada and wisconsin. eight of nine surveys are the past week and a crucial ohio give obama a narrow edge. and we will be focusing on a violator in today's "washington journal." and our swing state series. we want to hear from voters and not-swing states. we want to hear how the election is playing out how you are. and this from the baltimore sun, charging more the candidates will go in the next couple days. ting where the candidates will go in the next couple days. again, the candidates focusing all of their attention in the days leading up to election day on as swing states. we will go to david and the kentucky on the democratic line. tell us a little bit about how the campaign is playing out in the kentucky, one of the non- swing states. caller: it is mostly just romney signs of here, not many obama signs. i think you will landslide ky. the polls show that. and i hate to say it, but even the preachers are preaching against obama and the pulpit. host: are you motivated to got to the polls?
statewide polls differ on who was ahead in colorado and i what it should obama with a single digit lead in nevada and wisconsin. eight of nine surveys are the past week and a crucial ohio give obama a narrow edge. and we will be focusing on a violator in today's "washington journal." and our swing state series. we want to hear from voters and not-swing states. we want to hear how the election is playing out how you are. and this from the baltimore sun, charging more the candidates...
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Nov 2, 2012
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iowa has one and one in nevada, virginia new hampshire and florida. that's all right? is that where you would be telling them to spend -- >> he wins ohio, he wins. i don't see there's any path for romney to win this without ohio. >> jennifer: if romney won everything else -- >> he could win everything else but it makes it almost impossible for him. i would be in ohio. i would be in virginia. i would be in iowa. >> jennifer: would you be in north carolina joe? >> no. >> jennifer: really? >> yeah. >> jennifer: even though early voting is -- what about florida? >> no. i would spend more time -- >> jennifer: 2 points up. >> you can block -- you know, you force the other campaign to spend money. you keep it tight and it is a chance -- there's absolutely no way he can get florida. >> the thing about this race which i've never seen before in the five presidential races i've worked on, there's more money than god. you can put it anywhere. $3 billion so who cares where you put it. you can put it anywhere. >> jennifer: romney is spending money in minnesota and other places sayin
iowa has one and one in nevada, virginia new hampshire and florida. that's all right? is that where you would be telling them to spend -- >> he wins ohio, he wins. i don't see there's any path for romney to win this without ohio. >> jennifer: if romney won everything else -- >> he could win everything else but it makes it almost impossible for him. i would be in ohio. i would be in virginia. i would be in iowa. >> jennifer: would you be in north carolina joe? >>...
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Nov 2, 2012
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president needs to win just three in order to win a second term to get 271 electoral votes and those are nevada where there are six votes, wisconsin where there are ten and here in ohio, there are 18. and winning just those three of all these battle grounds gets you to 271 in a very narrow win, but that's what would do it for him and they feel very good about those three states. >> assuming they hold pennsylvania. >> that's true. that is a big point right there. >> i think there's a sense that florida might be moving in romney's direction. structurally, that's always been the most problematic of the battleground states for obama. and if i were betting, i would bet romney carries florida. >> and we're hearing from the romney side that there's a bit of a head fake there. >> it may be. what a lot of strategists have told me is if you're going to make a play for a state, you need to do it at least three weeks before election day. so one week out, not even a full week, makes it tough. it might be too little too late for mitt romney where they are spending a lot of money at this last minute. but they
president needs to win just three in order to win a second term to get 271 electoral votes and those are nevada where there are six votes, wisconsin where there are ten and here in ohio, there are 18. and winning just those three of all these battle grounds gets you to 271 in a very narrow win, but that's what would do it for him and they feel very good about those three states. >> assuming they hold pennsylvania. >> that's true. that is a big point right there. >> i think...
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don't forget, president obama is closer than he wants to be in a lot of places: colorado, nevada, nevada should have been tucked away a while ago. >> wisconsin even. >> wisconsin. and so the fact that he is returning to these places again and again and again, they'll say we're doing everything we can, of course we're going to fight to the end. but it's more than that.s it's a sgn that they are not entirely secure. on the aher hand, ohioh is looking stronger for them, a little bit more sioure for them and that's important. >> woodruff: pick up on that,or jonathan. why is ohio still the state that both campaigns are so focused on and spending so much time in? >> because if govnor romney doesn't have ohio he has to effectively draw an r incite strait to get the 270. he has to put gether an array f other states that almost certainly include wisconsin. and i was in wisconsin last week. it's close, president obama's going back to milwaukee and madison here in the coming days but it leans towards president obama. so that's why governor romney is so focused on ohio and for president obama, his c
don't forget, president obama is closer than he wants to be in a lot of places: colorado, nevada, nevada should have been tucked away a while ago. >> wisconsin even. >> wisconsin. and so the fact that he is returning to these places again and again and again, they'll say we're doing everything we can, of course we're going to fight to the end. but it's more than that.s it's a sgn that they are not entirely secure. on the aher hand, ohioh is looking stronger for them, a little bit...
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i want to show you the unemployment rates, nevada, 11.8%. colorado still 8%. wisconsin, ohio, new hampshire, virginia, florida, iowa. look at iowa, 5.2%. it's essentially full employment in iowa but they are concerned about debt, deficit and the quality of jobs you are getting. let's start with the ohio jobless rates. no gop candidate won an election without winning ohio. ohio makes presidents. today, 7% is the unemployment rate, less than when the president took office. that is better than the national average. they have been adding manufacturing jobs. not as many by any stretch of the imagination that they lost. look at florida and the trend of the jobless rate in florida. it's exactly where it was when the president took office. still higher than the national average. it has been coming down. housing is still a major issue here. in virginia, 13 electoral votes, jobless rate is low now. a 5.9% in virginia. but, it's still higher than when the president took office. essentially flat in virginia. it's going to be interesting because superstorm sandy could have
i want to show you the unemployment rates, nevada, 11.8%. colorado still 8%. wisconsin, ohio, new hampshire, virginia, florida, iowa. look at iowa, 5.2%. it's essentially full employment in iowa but they are concerned about debt, deficit and the quality of jobs you are getting. let's start with the ohio jobless rates. no gop candidate won an election without winning ohio. ohio makes presidents. today, 7% is the unemployment rate, less than when the president took office. that is better than the...
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the rnc learned of numerous cases in nevada. in a letter to election officials, they're asking nevada and five other states to recalibrate all of these machines, have additional technicians on hand and use signs and verbal reminders to make sure ballots are correct. the secretary of state says there is no evidence of any problems. >>> country music's biggest stars gathered in nashville last night for the 46th annual cma awards. hurricane sandy on their mind. >> dedicated to new york, new jersey, all our friends out there on the east coast. >> gretchen: jason aldean kicked off the show with luke brian and eric church. ♪ the only way i know. ♪ ♪ . >> gretchen: big winner of the night, blake shelton. he took home three trophies, including entertainer of the year. he joined keith urban, faith hill and lady antebellum in a tribute to will cree nelson. -- willie nelson. >> eric: i don't see them on the list for the nbc concert. no country stars on there. >> steve: no. >> eric: the other big story this morning, hurricane sandy no
the rnc learned of numerous cases in nevada. in a letter to election officials, they're asking nevada and five other states to recalibrate all of these machines, have additional technicians on hand and use signs and verbal reminders to make sure ballots are correct. the secretary of state says there is no evidence of any problems. >>> country music's biggest stars gathered in nashville last night for the 46th annual cma awards. hurricane sandy on their mind. >> dedicated to new...
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if you look at colorado, nevada, then to the midwest. you would have to say in the public polling, the president has a slight advantage. they're all close enough for this to play out on election day. but you mentioned it, and they talked about the impact of the storm. incumbency cuts both ways and we may find out tomorrow whether the president's post storm leadership, the commander-in-chief, the use of the bully pulpit has helped him. when we get the numbers tomorrow we might be reminded that he is the incumbent and we have a sluggish economy. we could have another twist. >> does either candidate have the momentum? can anybody say which side has the momentum right now? >> no. if you look nationally, it has been consistent for a week. the race is tied. if you go state by state, in one state you say the president has a bit of a lead. in other states, romney has a bit of a lead or a momentum. in most of these places, the president had the luxury of no primary challenge so he has a better ground organization on paper. more offices, more peop
if you look at colorado, nevada, then to the midwest. you would have to say in the public polling, the president has a slight advantage. they're all close enough for this to play out on election day. but you mentioned it, and they talked about the impact of the storm. incumbency cuts both ways and we may find out tomorrow whether the president's post storm leadership, the commander-in-chief, the use of the bully pulpit has helped him. when we get the numbers tomorrow we might be reminded that...
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he's spending a bunch of time in the firewall states like nevada and wisconsin and iowa. that's the way that he holds on even if romney somehow runs the table in florida, virginia, and ohio. if he can hold those other states, he can still win. >> chuck, you go along with that? >> i do. >> we need virginia and florida? >> i have been trying -- the sunday romney schedule had been in the dark. they had set it up. here is the sunday schedule. we just got it. iowa, ohio, pennsylvania, and virginia. now -- >> pennsylvania, they got a chance there? yes. is it likely? >> feels like they're looking for more paths and more opportunities. they basically failed to expand the map early. they're hoping maybe hope upon hope that they steal a state late, that somehow they could scramble the whole thing up with pennsylvania. the fact is they're close in pennsylvania, but it's lucy and the football close. >> there's a lot of work to be done by the democrats in southeastern pennsylvania. >> they do have work to do in western pennsylvania. there's a whole bunch of democratic -- your friend m
he's spending a bunch of time in the firewall states like nevada and wisconsin and iowa. that's the way that he holds on even if romney somehow runs the table in florida, virginia, and ohio. if he can hold those other states, he can still win. >> chuck, you go along with that? >> i do. >> we need virginia and florida? >> i have been trying -- the sunday romney schedule had been in the dark. they had set it up. here is the sunday schedule. we just got it. iowa, ohio,...
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i have been to nevada multiteletimes and colorado. i forget all the other places. went to iowa last week. we have gotten around. we are happy to do t. there is a lot of excitement out there. of course, all over florida in the last week with governor romney. everywhere we go, you can see the excitement. it's real, it's palpable. we can sense. it we are really excited about it. >> greta: this is a big country. i am curious, as you went to the states, was it usually the same issue -- can you tell -- because usually the rallies are speaking to the group. they are not having a profound amount of intersection because you are busy going somewhere else. but is it the same? >> you do. if you work the rope line or you get to talk to people on the ground, they will tell you, there are concerns about the economy and jobs, that's very real. there is a profound sense that the election is a choice between two very different types of people. where the government will increasingly become more dominant or a new future, where we reim-- embrace the free enterprise system and allow the
i have been to nevada multiteletimes and colorado. i forget all the other places. went to iowa last week. we have gotten around. we are happy to do t. there is a lot of excitement out there. of course, all over florida in the last week with governor romney. everywhere we go, you can see the excitement. it's real, it's palpable. we can sense. it we are really excited about it. >> greta: this is a big country. i am curious, as you went to the states, was it usually the same issue -- can you...
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>> well, i think that you've got about -- i don't buy the michigan nevada pennsylvania wisconsin are still in play. i don't think those outcomes are still in doubt. i think obama will win those four. we're really down to the last seven states and their 94 electoral votes and obama needs 17 out of 94 and romney needs 79 out of 94. when one candidate only needs 18% of the electoral votes in the toss up states and the other 84%, the odds are a lot better for the candidate that needs the 18% and that's president obama. so, i think the popular vote -- i think it's tied. i think we could easily see romney win the popular vote, but the electoral college i still think -- i would put a finger on the scale towards president obama. >> chris cizilla, if president obama wins, how much of an impact do you think that the hurricane and his leadership role, being seen with chris christie, you know, showing up with fema, how much do you think that may have had an impact, because it stopped whatever momentum mitt romney may have been enjoying. >> i would say i think the race is kind of upset. mitt romn
>> well, i think that you've got about -- i don't buy the michigan nevada pennsylvania wisconsin are still in play. i don't think those outcomes are still in doubt. i think obama will win those four. we're really down to the last seven states and their 94 electoral votes and obama needs 17 out of 94 and romney needs 79 out of 94. when one candidate only needs 18% of the electoral votes in the toss up states and the other 84%, the odds are a lot better for the candidate that needs the 18%...
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those states include nevada, kansas, north carolina, colorado, missouri and ohio. >> reporter: we are in cuyahoga county, downtown cleveland. they have a long history of problems including missing votes and missing voting machines. we were her voting on the acorn scandal. freddy johnson told me he was registered to vote by acorn 73 times. turns out he was just the tip of the iceberg. two election officials were convicted of rigging the 2004 presidential recount. the 2006 voter cards and voting machine keys were lost. employees took vote magazines home to test them and taxi drivers transported the memory cards from the polls that held all the votes. >> there was a systemic break down in 2006. but if we are evaluating the situation as of today in 2012, i think it is fair to say that that systemic breakdown did not reappear in 2010. >> reporter: officials insist they overhauled the procedures with new guidelines. no more taxi cab drivers. sheriffs take them from the polls accompanied by a democrat and a republican official. >> reporter: have you seen acorn-type problems now? >> no, we do
those states include nevada, kansas, north carolina, colorado, missouri and ohio. >> reporter: we are in cuyahoga county, downtown cleveland. they have a long history of problems including missing votes and missing voting machines. we were her voting on the acorn scandal. freddy johnson told me he was registered to vote by acorn 73 times. turns out he was just the tip of the iceberg. two election officials were convicted of rigging the 2004 presidential recount. the 2006 voter cards and...